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9 July 2010, 19:23 UTCIncoherent Prediction Markets?
I have known about prediction markets for some time, and find botboth the theoretical arguments and the evidence convincing. But only today did I register for one and look around. I found something odd.
22 June 2010, 2:15 UTCWho Knows Best?
Ann Nicholson just pointed me to an excellent discussion of two approaches to behavioral economics: nudge vs. regulate.
22 June 2010, 1:13 UTCEmacs Calendar & pdfLaTeX
How to print emacs calendar landscape using pdfLaTeX.
13 April 2010, 1:12 UTCRiding the E+ Sun Ray EZ Recumbent
6 April 2010, 18:46 UTCPerformance-Weighted Opinions
27 March 2010, 1:00 UTCYudkowsky on Priors
2 February 2010, 19:28 UTCFundamental Law
14 January 2010, 2:39 UTCPhoto in The Fairest
19 November 2009, 21:47 UTCProbability Words
6 November 2009, 15:12 UTCExplosives Divining Rod
6 November 2009, 10:58 UTCConsistency
31 October 2009, 0:57 UTCPHIL 721 Advanced Seminar: Causation
22 October 2009, 3:29 UTCBNs for Intelligence Analysis
21 October 2009, 23:59 UTCBNs for Initiative Assessment
6 October 2009, 13:33 UTCNetbooks vs Thinkpad X40
14 September 2009, 19:12 UTCpasswd:
13 August 2009, 0:37 UTCPay Too Much For Food & Power
6 November 2008, 16:51 UTCGelman on the Election
9 October 2008, 3:32 UTCRail vs. Bus
5 August 2008, 12:12 UTCBicycle Helmets & Pedestrian Casualties
9 July 2008, 14:58 UTCReston to GMU Bike Route -- Updated
1 July 2008, 21:45 UTCCorrelation & Causation
18 June 2008, 20:38 UTCThe Crowd Within
16 June 2008, 19:40 UTCAudiophiles, Significance Tests, Greenspun's Tenth Rule
10 June 2008, 13:27 UTCDemocracy
13 March 2008, 0:24 UTCKrugman on Interstellar Trade
6 March 2008, 1:33 UTCScience & Magic
29 November 2007, 1:58 UTCFixed Links
10 October 2007, 16:41 UTCAviation collision experiments
22 September 2007, 14:52 UTCPay for free software
(Click for original.)
I included this and another on my Phil 721 home page. Fundamental laws (e.g. ideal gas law) support counterfactuals. Accidental generalizations (e.g. "All natural diamonds are less than 500kg") don't.
If this sentence were a fundamental law, it would support counterfactuals.
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