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Tag Archives: Bayesian
Structured Methods for Intelligence Analysis
My colleagues just published a paper in Euro Journal on Decision Processes, for their special issue on risk management.
Karvetski, C.W, Olson, K.C., Gantz, D.T., Cross, G.A., "Structuring and analyzing competing hypotheses with Bayesian networks for intelligence analysis". Continue reading
Posted in Search Theory
Tagged ACH, analysis, Bayesian, Bayesian network, BN, Heuer, intelligence, Karvetski, Olson
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Bayesian Motion Models of LPB
Lin & Goodrich at Brigham Young are working on Bayesian motion models for generating probability maps. They have an interesting model, but need GPS tracks to train it. It's a nice complement to our approach, and it will be interesting … Continue reading
Posted in Lost Person Behavior, Search Theory
Tagged Bayesian, BYU, Goodrich, Lin, Lost Person Behavior, motion, Search Theory, simulation
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Syrotuck's Data
Syrotuck's main study is his 1976, with N=242. But he gives much more detail about distance travelled in his 1975 paper, breaking distance down every 0.2 miles. Unfortunately, he only reports probabilities, not numbers, and doesn't even report total N. … Continue reading
Posted in Lost Person Behavior
Tagged Bayesian, Data Analysis, Lost Person Behavior, Search Theory, Syrotuck
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SARBayes Optimal Resource Allocation Library
(This is recovered from an old history sidebar for SORAL. The code was updated in 2008 for the AGMSAR package.) Version 2.0 release scheduled for 28 Feb 2003. Jan. 2003: The code is now fully redocumented using dOxygen!! The public … Continue reading
Instructions for “Probability Mapper”
NOTE: This is OLD software. It was only a proof-of-concept. It was NEVER operational. Needless to say, it is completely without warranty, etc.
Posted in Probability Mapper, Search Theory
Tagged Bayesian, Data Analysis, Golding, Lost Person Behavior, PM, Probability Maps, Search Theory
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