## Incoherence & Mattson

People are often incoherent: their probabilities don't add to 100%. We get an 18% gain in accuracy if we coherentize their estimates. But we get a 30% gain in accuracy if we also assign more weight to coherent estimates.

What implications does this have for making subjective probability maps?

The following figure is from a recent paper I co-authored*:

What implications does it have for making subjective "consensus" probability maps at the start of a search?