Fitting Incident Time to a Distribution

Incident times follow a von Mises distribution centered near 5:30pm.


One goal of the SARBayes project is to forecast the probability of survival for lost persons. Such models could be useful in deciding to continue searching, and researchers making motion models can use survival predictions when generating probability maps of the lost person's location. We are analyzing data from the International Search & Rescue Incident Database (ISRID) to describe the probability of survival as a function of various features, such as age or temperature.

Continue reading "Fitting Incident Time to a Distribution"